November 2016 Cardinal Creating Consistory Or Will Pope Francis Hold Out Till February 2017?
In this post in June 2016 I had opined that November 19, 2016 would be a logical date for the next cardinal creating consistory — Pope Francis‘ third.
However, after what had been a long hiatus, I was talking, this weekend, with cardinalabili expert Louis Epstein. He believes that Pope Francis will wait till February 2017 given that both his prior cardinal creating consistories were in February.
He definitely has the option of waiting till February or even later.
We have 111 cardinal electors right now. Three will age-out (i.e., reach 80) by November 19, 2016. Three more would have aged out by February 16, 2017.
So, barring deaths, there will be 108 electors in November 2016 and 105 in February 2017. This is plenty enough to elect a pope.
So this again begs the question as to whether Pope Francis, who turns 80 on December 17, 2016, plans to retire anytime soon as he has been intimating for ‘years’. Louis thinks that Francis is having too much fun right now to retire. He could be right. If he doesn’t plan to retire before February 2017 he could very well wait till then for the next consistory.
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Will Pope Francis Retire/Resign In December 2016 — And If So November 19 Consistory?
From “National Catholic Register” (NCR) from 2 days ago. Click here for the original.
Click image to ENLARGE and read the snippet here.
Enter “pope marriage” into “Google News” for many, many more recent articles.

Click to ENLARGE and read snippet here. Pope continues to REVEL in being confrontational, confounding, contradictory and just plain unpredictable.
Pope Francis will turn 80 on December 17, 2016.
Pope Francis has repeatedly stated, voluntarily, from the very start of his papacy on March 13, 2013, that his will be a short papacy and that he will have no qualms about retiring — though the notion of pope’s retiring only became a reality with the last pope, Benedict XVI.
Age ’80’, since the 1970s, has become an artificial ‘high water mark’ in Catholicism since this is when cardinals lose their right to vote in conclaves — while the nominal retirement agent for Archbishops, Bishops and senior curial officers is 75.
While the pope does not have to retire EVER — IF he does want to retire then turning 80 would be a symbolic time (and one that would be much appreciated by cardinals who don’t really like losing their franchise upon reaching that age).
December 17 isn’t that far away. If he resigns on or around his birthday there will be CHAOS with Christmas but two weeks away! They would have to hold a conclave just ahead of Christmas. That would be inconvenient. Yes, he can announce his retirement on his birthday and say that (like Benedict XVI) he will step down after ‘x-weeks’. That would take us into mid-January, and a conclave towards the end of January 2017.
Francis in his 3 years and 3 months as pope has held 2 cardinal creating consistories and created a total of 39 cardinals. That is unremarkable, not too many or not too little. Right now there are 112 cardinal electors (120 the supposed (but untested) MAX). There is no quorum per se. 60 cardinals electors could, quite legitimately, elect a pope. There were 117 eligible cardinal electors for the 2015 conclave and 113 participated.
The annual November “Solemnity of Christ the King” is a favored time, ‘of late’, for cardinal creating consistories. This year it will fall on Sunday, November 20, 2016. So the consistory will be held on the Saturday, November 19th, with the celebratory Mass on the Sunday feast.
November 19th is a propitious day for a cardinal creating consistory. Italian Cardinal Ennio Antonelli will turn 80 the day before opening up one more cardinal elector slot. Barring deaths, with Antonelli’s aging out the electors will be down to 108 on November 19th. Another, Théodore-Adrien Sarr, will turn 80 on November 28th — 9 days later. So there will be 13 genuine cardinal elector slots. That is a nice number to fill.
So, some food for thought.
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Pope Francis Choosing Ireland Does NOT Mean He Will Personally Be There In 2018.
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by Anura Guruge
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That Pope Francis will be visiting Ireland in 2018 is based on him selecting Dublin as the host city for the next triennial (every 3 years), “World Meetings of Families” in 2018. The reason Francis visited the U.S. last month was to attend the 8th meeting — which was in Philadelphia. Whenever possible the pope tries to attend these ‘World Meetings’. Hence the belief that Francis will visit Ireland in 2018.
But that might NOT be the case.
Pope Francis will turn 80 on December 17, 2016. Francis, as some of you will remember (and here are two separate links: link1 & link2), has intimated that his pontificate will be short and that he too could follow in the footsteps of his predecessor, Benedict XVI, and retire.
There is no retirement age for popes and popes are not normally expected to retire. But Benedict kind of set a new norm.
Cardinals lose their right to participate in conclaves when they turn 80. That is a BIG deal when it comes to a cardinal. So age 80 has significance in today’s Catholic Church. So there are those that believe that Francis will retire upon turning 80. IF he did there will be a new pope in 2018.
And here is the funny thing. Benedict was the one who chose Philadelphia for 2015. So there was the expectation that HE will visit the U.S. in 2015. He did not.
He actually resigned, when he did, so that a new pope would be in place to make the U.S. trip.
So re. Ireland we could have a repetition of this. A POPE will visit Ireland in 2018 but it might not be Francis.