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Tag Archive | Pope Francis

Next Camerlengo IF It Isn’t Cardinal Pietro Parolin.

by Anura Guruge


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I am still fairly confident that the new Camerlengo will be the Secretary of State, Cardinal Pietro Parolin. That is the logical pick.

But, if Pope Francis decides against Parolin here are some other viable names.

There are only two criteria that a Camerlengo needs to meet. He needs to be a Cardinal Elector and he needs to be permanently resident in Rome, The latter being why the Camerlengo is invariably a curalist. Being a seasoned curialist also helps in that the Camerlengo must know how to get things done within the Vatican.

Other than the under-80 requirement to be a Cardinal Elector there is no other age constraints. So, the pope could pick a cardinal in his mid- or late-70s. But, I don’t think that is likely to happen. But, it also depends as to when the Pope thinks the next conclave is likely to be. His unexpected creation of the four irregular Cardinal Bishops is an indication that he thinks that we will have a conclave sooner than later; i.e., within the next 2.5 years.

So, the above 6 is my first cut. I could be dead wrong on these. Basically food for thought.

Let me know what you think. Again, please remember that I think that Cardinal Pietro Parolin is, indubitably, the first pick.


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by Anura Guruge

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Cardinal Pietro Parolin Most Likely The Next Camerlengo Following The Death Of Cardinal Louis Tauran.

by Anura Guruge




Click to ENLARGE and read here. Wikipedia: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pietro_Parolin


Whenever possible, the Secretary of State is the ideal candidate to be the Camerlengo.

Some illustrious Camerlenghi, of recent times were also Secretary of State: viz. ‘my man’ Tarcisio Bertone, S.D.B. (2006-2013), Jean Villot (1969-1979) of the two back-to-back 1978 conclaves and Eugenio Pacelli (1930-1939) — who, of course, was elected Pope (i.e., Pius XII) in the only conclave he participated in!

But, PLEASE, do not get excited. Pietro is way, way, way too young to be papabile right now. He will be papabile 7 – 8 years from now.

That he is likely to be the Acting Dean if there was to be a conclave in the next few years is also NOT an issue. Jean Villot was in the same boat.

Being Camerlengo does not in reality interfere with a cardinal doing other sede vacante and conclave duties. In the case of Pietro it gets more interesting. Outside of the Conclave he will not be the most senior Cardinal Bishop and hence the Dean. He will only be Acting Dean inside the Conclave.

The Secretary of State makes the ideal Camerlengo since their duties never overlap or intersect. The Secretary of State loses his office immediately upon the start of the Sede Vacante. And that is exactly when the duties of the Camerlengo begin. The Secretary of State, essentially the Vice-Pope, is invariably the Pope’s #1 Man. So, if a Pope wants that same person to oversee the Papal transition he will also make him Camerlengo — if the ‘vacancy’ is available.

So, hence the logic. Plus the Camerlengo, by law, has to be resident in Rome (so that he is handy as soon as there is a sede vacante). The Secretary of State also has to be Rome-based. So, it all works out nicely.

One possible crimp to this scenario is Pietro Parolin’s health. In October 2013, before he became a cardinal he had some liver related surgery. This matter does not get talked about these days. So, not sure whether he still has any lingering health concerns. He looks healthy enough BUT liver problems can be serious. You only have to think Steve Jobs.

So, that is the whole story as to why it would make sense, barring health issues, for Pietro Parolin to be appointed the next Camerlengo of the Holy Roman Church.


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by Anura Guruge

“Popes & Papacy” On Facebook — For All Things Papal.

by Anura Guruge


Click image to access this new Facebook page.


My ‘Popes-and-Papacy’ Website, which I started around 2008, was EXTREMELY successful until I quiesced it in May 2013 — once the current pope was elected. Though it covered most aspects of the papacy, my overriding interest, commensurate with my work on ‘The Next Pope’ books, was the ‘Next Pope’ and the ‘next conclave’. Well, that happened in March 2013. I then kind of moved onto some of my other interests — e.g., the brain & meditation. Late last year I, very reluctantly, closed down ‘Popes-and-Papacy’ because it was too time consuming to maintain.

Well, it appears that the lead up to the NEXT POPE POST POPE FRANCIS is upon us, and I despite, despite other distractions just cannot resist getting into the fray. So, as some of you may have noticed I am again doing papal posts on a regular basis.

There is no way I have the time, energy or patience to start a new Website.

Hence, ALL my pope posts will be on this BLOG. That is a given.

But, I started the ‘Popes & Papacy’ Facebook page as a tracking site for the pope posts on this blog — given that there are many people who are only capable of reading stuff on FB.

OK? You got the story.


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by Anura Guruge

Death Of French Cardinal Jean-Louis Tauran, The Camerlengo.

by Anura Guruge



The 2013 habermus Papam delivered by Cardinal Tauran.


Click to ENLARGE and read here. Wikipedia: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Louis_Tauran


Cardinal Tauran’s coat of arms


Cardinal Jean-Louis Tauran, at the time the protodeacon [i.e., senior most cardinal deacon], came to worldwide prominence on March 13, 2013, when he appeared on the famous balcony of St. Peter’s Basilica to announce who was to be the new pope, post Benedict XVI.

That was when most of us realized that he suffered, quite badly, from Parkinson’s — and that resonated with I since my adoptive mother (who also, coincidentally, lived in France for 18-years) had Parkinson’s for many years prior to dying in her sleep, aged 62, in 1992.

Cardinal Tauran from everything I have heard and read was much respected, liked and competent.

I was very surprised that Pope Francis, ’18-months’ into his pontificate, made Tauran his new Camerlengo (when ‘my man’) Cardinal Tarcisio Bertone turned 80 — and as such could no longer be the Camerlengo since he was now ineligible to attend a conclave. Being a Camerlengo is demanding THOUGH a Camerlengo’s real duties only start when there is a sede vacante (i.e, the absence of a pope).

I now SUSPECT that Francis may have been EXTREMELY CALCULATING in making this decision. He probably determined that Tauran may NOT be around by the time of the Next Conclave! That, obviously, was the case. So, why would be do that. Being appointed Camerlengo is a singular honor and Cardinal Tauran, though he never officiated at a Conclave, will always be listed and remembered as a Camerlengo. So, the Pope was being ultra nice to him. I am cool with that. Nothing wrong with that. No harm done.

Not having a Camerlengo is NOT a problem — though I suspect that Francis will appoint one soon. I have a feeling it is going to be Cardinal Pietro Parolin. (Though health again might be an issue!) Being Camerlengo is the perfect job for the Secretary of State. The two jobs have zero-overlap. The Secretary of State automatically loses his job at the start of the sede vacante which is when the Camerlengo steps to the fore. My man Bertone (and I truly liked him) held both titles — as has many others.

Just for the record there had not been a Camerlengo for YEARS when Pope Pius XII died in 1958. The Dean of the College of Cardinals had to appoint one after first certifying that the pope was indeed dead.


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by Anura Guruge

Cardinals Filoni & Ouellet Are Now The Leading Contenders To Be The Next Pope, i.e., Papabile.

by Anura Guruge


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Do NOT forget that I got the ‘Next Pope’ RIGHT in 2013.

Click image to access the original 2013 post on THIS bog.


Click to ENLARGE. From my ‘The Next Pope 2011’ book. Click on image at the bottom to get a copy.


Timing is everything, because age is of paramount concern, as to who will be the Next Pope post Francis. So, it all depends on when the next Conclave is likely to occur. Pope Francis is 81 and appears to be in reasonable health. But, he has hinted, more than once, that he too, like Benedict XVI before him, might retire — when the time is right. The question is such a retirement on the cards over the next 24 – 36 months?

Two CONFLICTING ‘data points’ on this. Following his cardinal-creating consistory last week he had 125 cardinal electors. Per current law only 120 cardinal electors can participate in a conclave. Bar deaths of electors, this 125 number will not drop to 120 till July 2019. That would mean that the pope does not plan to retire prior to July 2019 — though he can increase that 120 limit in a matter of seconds (even during/after his resignation speech). But, then, he also created the four new IRREGULAR Cardinal Bishops. The ONLY need for this was the possibility of an imminent conclave. So, that is confusing — and I did address that in this post.

OK? So, I refuse to look much more than 3-years ahead.

So, now let me explain the AGE criteria. As of hurried election of John Paul II (following the unexpected death of 33-day pope, John Paul I) when he was 58-years of age, the cardinals, understandably, have opted for older popes. Bluntly put, in the absence of any term limits (and any requirement for a pope to retire), the cardinals do not want another pope who will reign for for 20 – 30 years (despite the success of John Paul II’s pontificate). So, the last two popes have been 76 and 78 years of age. I had said that age would be a factor the last time around — and I was right. I now content, emphatically, that age again will be a primary factor. It is unlikely that the next pope will be much younger than 75.


Other Given Caveats Per My Recokening (and these are NOT negotiable). {Smile}

The Next Pope per Anura Guruge will be:

  • White.
  • A non-American (as in say Seán Patrick O’Malley).
  • A non-Jesuit.
  • A proven institutionalist, i.e., one who has a firm track record of upholding Vatican (rather than Catholic per se) values and protocols.

‘European’, or at least, as in the case of Marc Ouellet one who has spent much of their priestly life in Rome working for the Curia.


Marc Ouellet, despite being considerably younger, was my #1 papabile last time around. And I acknowledged that age was an issue.

Over the next 3-years his age would be GOLDEN.

Marc, simply put, is BELOVED and respected to a level that is uncanny. That he is Canadian will not be a factor. Canada is a ‘neutral’ (unthreatening) country and moreover Marc has spent so much time in Rome that he is a honorary Italian.

So, why do I have him as #2 rather than my first pick again.

He, alas, is RELIGIOUS, though, thankfully, not a Jesuit (Francis, the first). Cardinals tend to shy away from Religious Order candidates and Francis, with his supplication to the Jesuits, did not help matters. I will go as far as saying that the ONLY religious that is papabil is Marc!


Some of you will correctly contend that their unprecedented promotion to (irregular) Cardinal Bishops make them very much Francis’ stooges and that will cause them to be blackballed because Francis is not that popular among the College. NOT so in the case of these two. They were both created cardinals ahead of Francis — and have been untainted by Francis.

But, right now Filoni is a tad too young. His star will truly be in the ascend around 2021 when he is 75.

Enough for now. Digest what I have said.

Thank you.


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by Anura Guruge

Pope Francis Demeans The EASTERN Cardinal Patriarchs And Denotes That They Are 2nd Class Citizens!

by Anura Guruge


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This was WHAT it was all about. Prior to the creation of the 4 IRREGULAR Cardinal Bishops, Cardinal Rai was the MOST senior UNDER-80 cardinal! Base data from “Gcatholic.org” which is run by a friend.


Click to ENLARGE. From my ‘The Next Pope 2011’ book. Click on image at the bottom to get a copy.


Click to ENLARGE and read here. Wikipedia: de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Béchara_Pierre_Raï



Pope Francis has much in common with Donald Trump. Deep down they both have well-entrenched racist inclinations however much they might try to deny and deflect.

Last week’s uncalled for creation of the 4 HIGHLY ‘irregular’ Cardinal Bishops was proof positive.

The ONLY — and I stress ONLY — rationale for this extraordinary decision by Francis was his FEAR that a NON-WHITE, Eastern Cardinal Patriarch would officiate as the DEAN of the College of Cardinals at the next conclave.

Just like Trump and the Obama ‘birther’ conspiracy. As far as Francis is concerned non-whites are ‘OK’ if they are kept in their place, BUT there is NO WAY that he will have a non-white be in charge of a conclave — and in this case, literally over his dead body.

He might as well have flipped a BIRD at the Eastern, non-white Cardinal Patriarchs. YIKES. Not a nice man. Like Trump, just a bigoted old man who needs to lose a ton of weight.

Am I upset? What do YOU think? I am non-white. I endure abuse, discrimination and persecution daily. Yes, so I will say #METOO!

I had to write this. As a non-white the only power I have is that of the pen.

Pax.


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by Anura Guruge

Pope Francis Appears To Be Confused As To Conclave Protocols Related To Cardinals.

by Anura Guruge


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The ONLY logical rationale for Pope Francis creating his four ‘IRREGULAR’ Cardinal Bishops last week was to set the groundwork for the NEXT conclave. I get that.

But, at the same time he was creating these four ‘irregulars’ he EXCEEDED the Cardinal Elector limit by 5! Ahhh?

To I, Pope Francis is like President Donald Trump. They both LOVE being what they are, but, alas, have little understanding or appreciation of the office they hold.

Pope Francis definitely seems at sea about conclave protocols.

Somebody obviously told him that you had to have at least one Cardinal Bishop at a conclave. NOT TRUE. The senior most Cardinal Patriarch or Priest would have deputized as the Dean. That is a GIVEN. That is what precedence in the College of Cardinals is all about.

So, PLEASE, let’s get this straight once and for all. You do NOT need to have any Cardinal Bishops at a conclave. Period. The rules of precedence will apply and the senior most cardinal will do the duties. I can refer you to an excellent book with all of the rules clearly spelled out. That is how I learnt all this stuff.

On the other hand, EXCEEDING the 120 limit for cardinal electors CANNOT be circumvented — per the current laws.

Barring deaths it will be July 2019 before the cardinal elector number again drops to the permissible 120.

IF a conclave was to occur while we had more than 120 electors we would be in uncharted territory.

Current laws ONLY permit 120 electors to attend.

Yes, of course, the Pope, like Trump, can take care of this, in minutes, with an ‘Executive Order’. All he has to say is that henceforth the elector limit for conclaves is 125 — or whatever number he wants. He could even remove the limit completely.

If he was savvy he would have taken care of this at the same time he created the 4 irregulars. Then everything would have been copacetic for the next conclave.

But, NO. Like Trump, Francis likes to rule by chaos.


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by Anura Guruge

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