Tag Archive | Catholics

Who Is Eligible To Pope & Who Can Elect The New Pope — My Updated Chart.

by Anura Guruge



This was a chart that I originally compiled in 2009.

It has appeared in many of my pope books and is well known among the cognoscenti.

I use it all the time!

I was studying it again, this morning, looking at what happened in 1059, when it occurred to I that I could — & should — update it.

None of the data has changed.

Nothing has changed in this front in over 650-years.

Just the presentation. SMILE.

I hope it is clearer & even more self-explanatory. I try.


Related posts:
Check Category ‘Next Pope’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘consistory‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

Filipino Cardinal Tagle Promoted To Be A Cardinal Bishop, As Predicted — But, Still NOT Papabile.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE. Updated from ‘gcatholic.org’.


Click image to access original from: ‘American Magazine’.


As I predicted 4-months ago. Was NOT hard.

Click to access my post.


Click to ENLARGE. The notion of ‘Suburbicarian Sees’ — i.e., the diocese (the sees) that surround Rome.


Click to access my post from 3-weeks ago.


As a senior curialist Luis Tagle he definitely was entitled to be a Cardinal Bishop. That he did NOT get the vacant Suburbicarian See was interesting. But, to be fair, Benjamino Stella (Italy), is more senior in terms of the curial dicastery he heads.

This is great for the Catholic Filipinos. They will be ecstatic. Good for them.

It still does NOT make him papabile. Not even close.

He now has 3 strikes against him:

  1. Way, way, way too YOUNG!
  2. Too exotic, for current times. Church wants to re-trench, get back to its roots.
    ….
  3. Coming across TOO much as Francis’ MAN, and Francis is losing his popularity among prelates.

Related posts:
Check Category ‘religion’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘consistory‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

The Next Pope: Angelo Scola (78) Could Be The ‘Hail Mary’ Pick If All Else Fails In 2020.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


Guruge 2020 Papabili Series — #IV


Angelo Scola, the eternal ‘bridesmaid’ (so to speak), will turn 79 in November, 2020. That would be another psychological strike against him though we have had two 79-year olds elected as pope, albeit both in the 17th-century.

At ’78’ he can claim ‘parity’ with (his good friend) Benedict XVI — though Benedict XVI was elected just 3-days after he turned 78.

Age, ironically, is the biggest strike against him. 78 is pushing it. If elected before he turns 79 he will be the 4th (possibly 3rd) oldest to be elected (albeit as of 1400).

Yes, there is, as is now the case with nearly all Italian cardinals, a whiff of scandal attached to him. He is supposed to have Mafia connections! Sacré bleu. He is Italian. What do you expect? I don’t think the electors will worry about that. It could even be an advantage. An Italian pope with Mafia connections.

He was papabile in BOTH 2005 & 2013. In 2013 he was extremely papabile. He was my #4 pick.

Well, in 2013, the extremely influential & well-connected ‘Italian Conference of Bishops’ issued a Press Release congratulating Scola as soon as they saw the white smoke above the Sistine! They were so sure that Scola would be the next pope.

Scola, in 2020, prior to November, will be the pope of last resort. If all other avenues does not lead to the 2/3rd majority.

Yes, he will be a caretaker a pope — hopefully for 4- to 5-years.

I think Ouellet is more papabile than Scola. No doubt. But, if Ouellet fails to get the votes, the electors might despair and decided to just go with a known, trusted entity, Scola.


Related posts:
Check Category ‘Next Pope’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘consistory‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

The Next Pope: It Might Be The RETURN Of The Customary Italian Pope.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


Guruge 2020 Papabili Series — #III


There is the famous adage: ‘a fat pope is followed by a thin pope‘.

In this instance it would be: ‘an unconventional pope is followed by a conventional pope‘.

Francis, by measure, was unconventional. For a start he was the first pope in centuries who had spent very little time in Rome. Francis’ exposure to Rome (and as such with the Vatican) was essentially non-existent. He did not have any education or training in Rome (or Italy) and he did not hold any significant curial roles of note. This might be a clue to why he has proved to be such an outsider within the Vatican.

Plus, he, despite his heritage, was non-European.

Francis has rocked the boat. He has not proved to be the pope that folks had thought and hoped.

It is now 42-years since the last Italian pope!

The Avignon papacy lasted 69-years.

I have a feeling that the next conclave is going to gravitate towards picking a traditional pope — at a minimum European. No exotics this time around.

But, they could go further. Go the whole hog, and opt for an Italian.

There are 22 Italian cardinal electors — as you can see.

This is my first cut. I will refine this Italian list over the next few weeks.

What are YOUR thoughts?


Related posts:
Check Category ‘Next Pope’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘consistory‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

The Next Pope: Cardinal Marc Ouellet Was Very Papabile In 2013, He Is Even More So In 2020.

by Anura Guruge



Click to ENLARGE, read & admire. From page 4 of my 2011 ‘The Next Pope’ book. I picked TEN papabili. Got Francis RIGHT — albeit as last pick! #1 was Ouellet and he was much younger then.


Click to ENLARGE and read. Again from my 2011 ‘Next Pope’ book.


Guruge 2020 Papabili Series — #II


The more I think about it, the more I get convinced that Canadian Marc Ouellet is a (if not ‘the’) prime papabile.

He was young in 2013. At 75 his age is PERFECT.

He has not put a foot wrong with the Church and curia. He is golden.

Pope Francis demonstrated that he thinks highly of him by making him one of the four ‘irregular’ cardinal bishops.

Ouellet, per the leaks from the 2013 conclave, got a decent number of votes at that conclave.

The one big negative against him was said to have been his RESERVED, academic temperament. Well, in 2020, after the theatrics of Francis, that would be a virtue.

He is popular in Rome and among his peers.

He can get votes from around the globe. Put together quite the coalition.

I think he will be the one to beat.


Related posts:
Check Category ‘Next Pope’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘consistory‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

The Next Pope: Cardinal Leonardo Sandri As A Papabile Has 2.75 Strikes Against Him.

by Anura Guruge



Guruge 2020 Papabili Series — #I 


Argentinian Cardinal Leonardo Sandri (b. Nov. 1943) is definitely papabile. He was papabile in 2013 and got some early votes.

His standing has gone up since. In July 2018, his good friend, Pope Francis, made him one of the four ‘irregular’ cardinal bishops. That was noteworthy, an indubitable vote of confidence by the pope.

Then in December 2019 his fellow cardinal bishops elected him Vice Dean. They elected Cardinal Battista Re (b. Jan. 1934) as Dean. So, Re is already past 80 and as such will not be able to participate in the next conclave. Thus, it would be Sandri who will be the acting ‘Dean’ (the role that Re had in 2013). Being acting ‘Dean’ is certainly not a negative vis-à-vis being a papabile. Benedict XVI (i.e., Cardinal Ratzinger) was the Dean in 2005 when he was elected pope. As ‘Dean’ the electors can never lose sight of you. You are always there in the conclave — center stage, orchestrating proceedings.

But, Sandri has two definite strikes against him:

  1. He is another Latin American — with Francis having been the first. The electors may feel that two Latin American popes, with very similar outlooks and temperament, back-to-back might be a tad too much, particularly so in that Francis was the first from across the Atlantic. So that is Strike #1.
    .
  2. Archbishop Carlo Maria Viganò, the famous Vatican whistleblower, has explicitly implicated Sandri in the sex abuse mire by stating that he was actively involved in the coverup of the egregious sexual misconducts of the Legionary of Christ founder, Marciel Maciel. That should be Strike #2.

His age could start to become a factor. He is currently 76 and getting older.

Francis & John XXIII were elected at 76 and Benedict XVI at 78. So, he is still ‘good’ but his age could be half-a-strike against him.

Then, there is his friendship with Francis. Francis is not as popular among the electors as had been Benedict XVI or John Paul II. So, this could be a negative, quarter-of-a-strike against him.

He, despite these strikes, remains papabile.

So, do not rule him out as yet.


Related posts:
Check Category ‘Next Pope’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘consistory‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

‘College Of Cardinals’ — Snapshot Of The Demographics On February 15, 2020.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


Just compiled this for my LATEST pope book. Yes, my 11th and possibly last. Compiling this data, especially the ‘vocations’, isn’t as easy as you would think. I had to do some data processing ‘magic’ to extract that data — without having to spend inordinate hours counting ‘titles’. SMILE.

Thought I would share this with you because it could be out-of-date within dates. SMILE.

Enjoy.


Related posts:
Check Category ‘religion’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘college‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

Pope Francis, I Think, Is Ill & In Considerable Pain — Hence His Uncharacteristic Short-Temper.

by Anura Guruge


The SLAP felt around the World.

This, which happened on Wednesday, January 1, 2020, went viral.
The pope apologized the next day — since his theme for the early part of 2020 ‘preventing violence against women‘!
Yes, it was ironic — as only popes can manage.


Here is a YouTube video of the whole sorry incident.


Christmas Eve Mass December 24, 2019.

Watch around the 8- & 17-minute marks.


As a Vaticanologist (though not full time) I do keep an eye on this pope (who I picked, in 2010, in print, as the possible next pope).

The unfortunate slapping incident, in my opinion, wasn’t just a case of him being a grumpy old, 83-year old man. I think there is more to it than that.

He is getting old.

He has had bad feet since he was a teenager and has worn especially made, corrective/therapeutic shoes all his adult life. He also had a part of one of his lungs removed when he was in his early 20s.

He has always walked with a slight limp but it is significantly more pronounced now. Watch him on the Mass video above. Also notice how one of his feet stick out at an angle. I am sure he has pain issues to do with his leg, back or both. A few weeks ago there was a viral flap that he was wearing a pain-pump. The Vatican denied that and said it was a remote mike!

4-years ago his doctors wanted him to go on a diet. That didn’t work. He is larger now than at any other time in his papacy. That probably doesn’t help his feet.

So, I contend that this pope is in pain and his health may not be that good. I could, as ever, be wrong.


Related posts:
Check Category ‘religion’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘consistory‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

Will Pope Francis Promote Filipino Cardinal Tagle To Be A Cardinal Bishop?

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE.


Click to ENLARGE. The notion of ‘Suburbicarian Sees’ — i.e., the diocese (the sees) that surround Rome.


Click to access my post from 3-weeks ago.


As a senior curialist Luis Tagle is definitely entitled to now be a Cardinal Bishop. Plus, a pope can promote any one to the order (i.e., to be a Cardinal Bishop) at his whim. Totally his prerogative as are so many things within his Church.

There is a genuine vacancy that has gone unfilled since early September.

Furthermore, now that he got Sodano to ‘resign’ the Deanship is vacant and the Cardinal Bishops, among themselves, will have to elect a new Dean in the next few weeks. The pope will want the vacancy filled before that election.

This does NOT mean that Tagle will be the new Dean. SMILE. He will be the most junior of the Cardinal Bishops.

And even if he is made a Cardinal Bishop he will NOT be the next pope, unless we don’t have a conclave for another 13- to 14-years. SMILE.

Making Tagle a Cardinal Bishop will be quite a statement. One that the pope might be happy to make. It will make a lot of people very happy.

I will tell you who I think will be the next Dean in my next post. SMILE.


Related posts:
Check Category ‘religion’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘consistory‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

Pope Francis Makes A Dramatic Change To The Tenure Of The Dean Of The ‘College Of Cardinals’.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE and read here. From the Vatican @ http://www.vatican.va


Click to ENLARGE.


With this December 21, 2019, motu proprio (a personal (unilateral) papal edict at the pope’s behest) Pope Francis has finally wrested control over the tenure of the Dean of the ‘College of Cardinals‘).

Prior to this, the Dean, once elected (by his fellow Cardinal Bishops (albeit, this as of, 1965)) — and then approved by the pope — had tenure for life or until he opted to resign (or, as is claimed in the case of Angelo Sodano, forced to resign). This has meant, as can be seen from image #2, that there have been some Deans that held sway well past their 80th year — though this, as of 1971, precluded them from participating in a conclave.

Francis’ goal is to try and have younger Deans — though this is not a given.

Making the tenure 5-years — with the pope reserving the right to renew the term — makes a lot of sense.

This goes, quite nicely, hand-in-hand, with the pope creating irregular Cardinal Bishops in 2018 — again in the hope of having under 80 cardinal bishops if there were to be a conclave.

What the pope is REALLY hoping is that the cardinal bishops will now elect a YOUNG Dean — which means that it will have to be an irregular. More on this in a later post.


Related posts:
Check Category ‘religion’.
Search ‘cardinals‘, ‘consistory‘ & ‘pope‘.


by Anura Guruge

%d bloggers like this: