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Tag Archive | Big Lake

Lake Winnipesaukee [NH] 2019 Ice-Out Was Wednesday, April 24 — @ 5:24am.

by Anura Guruge


Prior instances when it was on April 24 (non-leap years)
and April 23 (leap years).


↑↑↑↑

I take LEAP YEARS into account.
I count days from January 1, taking into account leap years.
So, April 21 & April 22 are 111-days in From Jan. 1
depending on whether it was Leap Year or not.



Ice Out 1992 to 2019.

Click to ENLARGE.


Vagaries of Ice Out 2000 to 2019.


So, it wasn’t April 22nd as most people had expected. It was two-day later.

But, it was 2-days earlier than last year.

Same as 2015.

2014 was one-day off, but was also on a Wednesday.

Nowhere close to being even close to ‘long’. Longest was 132-days (since Jan. 1) in 1888.

Also, not the shortest. SHORTEST was just 3-years ago. 2016. 77-days, March 18,


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by Anura Guruge


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Lake Winnipesaukee [NH] 2019 Ice-Out Expected To Be Monday, April 22.

by Anura Guruge


Prior instances when it was on April 22 (non-leap years)
and April 21 (leap years).

Click to ENLARGE.


↑↑↑↑

I take LEAP YEARS into account.
I count days from January 1, taking into account leap years.
So, April 21 & April 22 are 111-days in From Jan. 1
depending on whether it was Leap Year or not.



Prevailing consensus is that it most likely will be April 22 in 2019. But, there could always be a pesky little floe floating around that could delay it by 12-, 24-, 36 or even 48-hours.

I am just going with the flow. 


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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee [NH] Ice-Out: Longest [i.e., Latest] Occurrences.

by Anura Guruge



↑↑↑↑

1964 was a LEAP YEAR and I take that into account.
I count days from January 1, taking into account leap years.
So, April 29 in a non-leap year is the SAME as April 28 in a Leap Year.



So, of course, we have had ice-outs as late as May 12 — albeit not of late. 

2018 [i.e., last year], on April 26, was pretty late. Don’t think it will be as late this year. But, I suspect we are still at least a good week away.


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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee [NH] Ice-Out: Earliest Occurrences.

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE and study. Note, 2012 was a LEAP YEAR and I take that into account.


↑↑↑↑

2012 was a LEAP YEAR and I take that into account.
I count days from January 1, taking into account leap years.
So, March 24 in a non-leap year is the SAME as March 23 in a Leap Year.



So, of course, we have had ice-outs by now; viz. April 5.

And we don’t have to go to far. Just in the last 9-years, with 2016 THE RECORD since the 1887 — the first year for which we have reliable data.

I was in Wolfeboro two-days ago. The ice was very white and looked pretty solid.

Yesterday, the ice on The Broads looked black. That means it would typically break-up within 48-hours. I have seen it happen — ONCE. Magical. One second we have ice, the next it is ALL gone as far as the eye can see. This was in 1999 or 2000 when I was living waterfront in Gilford.

Mid-April might be good for this year too.


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by Anura Guruge


Lake Winnipesaukee 2018 Ice-Out — Latest Since 2001 & ANOTHER On A Thursday!

by Anura Guruge


Click to ENLARGE. The ebb and flow of ice-out dates 1988 to 2018.


Click to ENLARGE. Other ice-outs 115 days in. All on NON-Leap Years (and ‘1900’ was NOT a Leap Year). 4 on a Thursday.


Click to ENLARGE. Ice-out dates 1990 to 2018.


So Winnipesaukee ice-out 2018 was on Thursday, April 26 around 5:40pm.

> >  This was the LATEST ice-out since 2001 when the ice-out was on May 2 (and I remember that).

> >  Another ice-out on a Thursday. We have had more ice-outs on Thursday than any other day, BY FAR.

> >  Last time ice-out was on April 26 was in 1979, 39-years ago.

> >  All ice-outs that have happened 115-days into the year have happened on NON-LEAP Years, so all are on April 26. [115-days in on a Leap-Year would be April 25.]

> >  The average for ice-out was (and still is after this year) 108.2 days in; i.e., April 19 (non-Leap) & April 18 (Leap).

> >  Ice-out in 2003 was on April 25 (114 days). Ice-out in 2008 & 2015 was 113-days in (April 23 & April 24 because one was a Leap).

> >  Ice-outs in 2016, 2012 & 2010 were way below average.


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by Anura Guruge


Frozen “Alton Bay”, Lake Winnipesaukee, NH, On Another 40°F Day — January 21, 2018.

by Anura Guruge


NO post-processing whatsoever.

Click pictures to ENLARGE.

Attribution WILL be enforced.







Yesterday was our lake, ‘Halfmoon Lake‘. Today, the second-spring like day in a row we opted to venture a bit further, just for the change. So, went to our local bay, Alton Bay, on the BIG Lake, i.e., Lake Winnipesaukee. This used to be OUR lake; I lived waterfront on it from 1997 — 2007, in Meredith and Gilford; for the last seven-years of that just 8′ from the water.

We got there around 3:15pm and it was UNUSALLY quiet. In total 5 people on the Bay and maybe a couple more in the Parking Lot. Why? Everybody else was at home watching the NE Patriots. It was kind of funny.

It was nice as you can tell from the pictures. We walked around on the ice. I like that. It is the only time these days that I feel as I am walking on water.

Dogs loved it.

They are getting ready for the ‘Airport on Ice‘. New yellow cones that we have not seen before.

Enjoy.


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by Anura Guruge

Lake Winnipesaukee [NH] 2017 Ice-Out Occurs On Monday, April 17 — As Predicted.

by Anura Guruge



Click to ENLARGE and study here. My spreadsheet takes into account LEAP YEARS and determines ice-out in terms of days into the year as of January 1 of that year.


So Winnipesaukee ice-out 2017 did take place on Monday, April 17, as was predicted here yesterday.

So it was the DAY AFTER Easter.

Same day it happened in 2013. So nothing too remarkable.

The AVERAGE ice-out is still between April 18 & April 19, so April 17 is v. close to average.

It has fallen on April 17 six times before — as of 1887.

You can see that above.

But, I factor in whether it was a LEAP-YEAR of not.

That makes a difference.

April 17 is 106 days into the year in non-Leap Years. 2017 is NOT a Leap-Year.


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by Anura Guruge


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