Next Week, Year End 2016, On The Stock Market — My Take.

by Anura Guruge


dow2000

Dow ’30’, 1:20pm on Wednesday, December 21, 2016, ‘The Solstice’ — trying but failing to flirt with Dow 20,000.


The U.S. Stock Market, next week, December 27 – 30, in my opinion is going to rater STRANGE.

For a start, with Monday (Boxing Day) a holiday in lieu of Christmas Day (falling on a Sunday) it is going to be a short week (albeit not with stocks getting shorted) — with most likely very THIN volumes.

Whether the Dow hits, or is over, 20,000 is not going to matter most.

But, we are going to see another Trump effect!

Typically this is the week that savvy investors rebalance their portfolio to exploit CAPITAL GAINS — or more to the point CAPITAL LOSSES.

But, this year that is going to be different.

By and large, unless you have been very unlucky or imprudent, there isn’t going to be that much Capital Losses around! The market has done well. {SMILE}

Plus, most people MUST BELIEVE that Trump, in his first year, i.e., 2017, will REDUCE Capital Gains tax.

So why sell in 2016. Wait to see what Trump does in 2017.

That will be a MAJOR FACTOR.

So, I, for one, do NOT expect to see much CAPITAL GAINS/LOSSES related selling next week. We might see some in the first week of January.

And then there will be the CUSTOMARY ‘Window Dressing’ by the Stock Fund Managers, who yet again (as tends to be their wont), got it WRONG. So that will fuel another wave of buying.

That is my take. Not that I plan to do much next week. I am all set — thank you. {SMILE}

Have some BIG options expiring next year.

Happy Holidays.


Related Posts:
++++
Check Category ‘investments’ for other related posts >>>>


by Anura Guruge

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

About Anura Guruge

See 'The Blogger' on my https://nhlifefree.com/ blog.

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: